The All Blacks side is due to be named on Sunday.Lets try and get in to the minds of the 3 wise men and choose the side that THEY will pick,not what WE want!
Fullback.Graham Henry was heard this morning saying he will pick "experience" for this test.Does that mean that if Mils Muliaina is fit that he will start?I doubt it.He simply hasnt had the game time and I'm sure Henry and co wont throw him in against a strong Irish side.Isaiah Toeva may have got the nod with his good form prior to his injury,but Straight Shooter thinks that Wellingtons Corey Jane will wear the number 15 jersey.
Wingers.Welcome return to form for both Hosea Gear and Jo Rocokoco could well see both these men on the wings.Rudi Wulf has been in great form and is a real workaholic and likewise Sean Maitland for the Crusaders.I believe that Zac Guildford will tie up the number 11 jersey which leaves the number 14 slot wide open.I think 'Smokin' Jo Rock will get another crack at it.
Centre.No Brainer.Conrad Smith has been in superb form,he is experienced, reliable and dependable.Rene Ranger and Robbie Fruean may get reserve spots with their abilities to play both Centre and Wing,but my pick is Richard Kahui now that I hear he is flying to Christchurch purely for a fitness test.Smith to start.
2nd 5.Tough now that the certainty selection in Ma'a Nonu has been ruled out.My choice would be Benson Stanley,but I believe that the spot will go to Luke McAlister.He offers the experience,he knows the plays and systems and has an educated boot to complement D.C.
1st 5.Dan Carter.Daylight is next.Look for Colin Slade as his back up.Aaron Crudens time will come but not now.I seem to think that the days of Stephen Donald are well and truly numbered.
Halfback.Jimmy Cowan will wear 9 with back up from Alby Mathewson.I think Kahn Fotuali'i may have been in with a shot until his discrepancy overseas with the Crusaders.Piri Weepu wont let the jersey down but I just think he is down on fitness and the 3 wise men know it.
Number8.Kieran Read has really stood up when it counted towards the end of the campaign and will start at 8.Vili Maafu has been a standout for the Blues but is ineligible.Colin Bourke is one to keep an eye on also,and sadly,with the release of Rodney So'iolo to the Barbarians overseas for 3 weeks that signals the end of his test career.
Openside.Captain Fantastic Richie McCaw will again lead the side.There was some talk about him being at 6 but forget about it.The new laws may have given rise to the fact that McCaw was 'too quick' to the ball and may have been better suited to the 'second arrival' but that theory has been put to bed.No other back up opensides stand out,so Adam Thompson will be the logical loose forward reserve.Daniel Braid cant get back soon enough!
Blindside.Two way battle here between Jerome Kaino,who I think wins hands down,and Adam Thompson.Michael Paterson will probably make the named 26 as a back up lock/loosie and special mention goes to Victor Vito,whose time will come but not right now.
Locks.Brad Thorn demands one lock selection.His backup will probably come from the proven Anthony Boric,although Sam Whitelock wont disgrace himself.It all depends on whether Henry and co decide to throw him in against the Irish,but as I said I dont believe the 3 wise men will make too many radical selections in this first test match.Tom Donnelly is back from injury but wont make the 22,but will be in the 26.Thorn and Boric for mine.
Props.Tony Woodcock has been way below his best in a misfiring Blues pack but I believe that being back in the All Black environment will see him back to form pretty quickly.The selectors know what he is capable of and wont be keen to discard him so quickly.The other prop should be Owen Franks at tighthead,although Neemia Tialata seems to be a favorite with Steve Hansen.Woodcock and Franks to start for mine.
Hooker.The injury to Andrew Hore has been a major blow,as he had certainly established himself as the go to man in the middle of the All Black front row.On form,Jason Rutledge must go close,but you'll see Keven Mealamu named to start at hooker,and judging by Aled De Malmanche being fitness tested in Christchurch tomorrow with Kahui,you can bet that he will be the back up.
Straight Shooters starting 15.
15-Corey Jane
14-Josevata Rocokoco
13-Conrad Smith
12-Luke McAlister
11-Zac Guildford
10-Dan Carter
9-Jimmy Cowan
8-Kieran Read
7-Richie McCaw (C)
6-Jerome Kaino
5-Anthony Boric
4-Brad Thorn
3-Owen Franks
2-Keven Mealamu
1-Tony Woodcock
Straight Shooter-telling it like it is
Tuesday, May 25, 2010
Monday, May 24, 2010
Do we really care?
So its an all South African Super 14 final.So?Do we really care?Is it bad for NZ rugby and does it bode poorly for the All Blacks?
In Straight Shooters opinion,NO!
Super 14 form has never translated into International form.We have dominated the Super 14 competition since its concept.This year is only the 3rd time in its history that we have not had a New Zealand side in the final.We are also the only country to have 3 sides contest the semis...3 times (1998/2003/2009)
And make special note of the World Cup years.In 1999 we had the Crusaders and Highlanders contest the final.The World Cup?Beaten semi finalists!In 2003 we had the Blues beat the Crusaders in the final and also the Hurricanes as semi finalists.The World Cup?Beaten semi finalists!In 2007 we had the Crusaders and Blues as beaten semi finalists,despite the resting policy of all the ABs at the time..The World Cup?Dare I say!
No,for this Straight Shooter I will see it as a blessing for our All Blacks.Chill out,rest up,and fire it up for the first test match of the season on June 12th!
Straight Shooter-telling it like it is
In Straight Shooters opinion,NO!
Super 14 form has never translated into International form.We have dominated the Super 14 competition since its concept.This year is only the 3rd time in its history that we have not had a New Zealand side in the final.We are also the only country to have 3 sides contest the semis...3 times (1998/2003/2009)
And make special note of the World Cup years.In 1999 we had the Crusaders and Highlanders contest the final.The World Cup?Beaten semi finalists!In 2003 we had the Blues beat the Crusaders in the final and also the Hurricanes as semi finalists.The World Cup?Beaten semi finalists!In 2007 we had the Crusaders and Blues as beaten semi finalists,despite the resting policy of all the ABs at the time..The World Cup?Dare I say!
No,for this Straight Shooter I will see it as a blessing for our All Blacks.Chill out,rest up,and fire it up for the first test match of the season on June 12th!
Straight Shooter-telling it like it is
The semi finals
The Super 14 final will be contested by the seasons top 2 sides,the Bulls and the Stormers.
As expected,the Bulls overcame a gutsy effort by the Crusaders and eventually over ran the Red and Blacks.All pointers pointed towards a Blue Bulls victory...the enormous liability of the travel factor,hometown advantage(despite it being in Soweto),the luxury of being able to rest 99% of their starting XV the week before,and the fact that they had been the form side all season.Despite all this,Kiwi fans plunged the $2.50 odds on offer from the Bookies and confidantly predicted a win.And for long periods of this match it seemed as though it could happen.Even though Pierre Spies,the South African wrecking machine at No8,scored early,the play had mostly come from the Crusaders.They kept in touch with a well worked rolling maul try,but Carter was astray with his boot.Indeed,the turning point in my opinion came with the scores at 20-10,and Dan Carter lined up a penalty that would have taken them to within 7 points.Alas,he was astray,and just 2 minutes later Morne Steyn boomed over a penalty from 59 metres.Staggering!A 6 point turn around there,and the Crusaders were gone.The legs became jaded,and Du Preez scored from a scrum,and it was all over rover.
Credit to the Crusaders,and the coaching staff,a fine effort.
I didnt see the Stormers/Waratahs match but did see highlights.Again,the better side came through in the end,although surprisingly only one try was scored in the match.Again,credit to the Waratahs they played some great footy all season.
Overall it was an excellent competition,certainly one of the best ever.The tightness of the sides made for some great games,and when the Hurricanes play a virtual 1/4 final,lose,and end up in 8th position it tells you something.The Force managed to bowl over the Stormers and Crusaders while the Reds beat BOTH finalists.The Blues beat the best and lost to the worst,which kind of summed up their season,but ended up finishing higher than the Hurricanes!Go figure!
As for the final?
Bulls by 10 points.
Straight Shooter-telling it like it is
As expected,the Bulls overcame a gutsy effort by the Crusaders and eventually over ran the Red and Blacks.All pointers pointed towards a Blue Bulls victory...the enormous liability of the travel factor,hometown advantage(despite it being in Soweto),the luxury of being able to rest 99% of their starting XV the week before,and the fact that they had been the form side all season.Despite all this,Kiwi fans plunged the $2.50 odds on offer from the Bookies and confidantly predicted a win.And for long periods of this match it seemed as though it could happen.Even though Pierre Spies,the South African wrecking machine at No8,scored early,the play had mostly come from the Crusaders.They kept in touch with a well worked rolling maul try,but Carter was astray with his boot.Indeed,the turning point in my opinion came with the scores at 20-10,and Dan Carter lined up a penalty that would have taken them to within 7 points.Alas,he was astray,and just 2 minutes later Morne Steyn boomed over a penalty from 59 metres.Staggering!A 6 point turn around there,and the Crusaders were gone.The legs became jaded,and Du Preez scored from a scrum,and it was all over rover.
Credit to the Crusaders,and the coaching staff,a fine effort.
I didnt see the Stormers/Waratahs match but did see highlights.Again,the better side came through in the end,although surprisingly only one try was scored in the match.Again,credit to the Waratahs they played some great footy all season.
Overall it was an excellent competition,certainly one of the best ever.The tightness of the sides made for some great games,and when the Hurricanes play a virtual 1/4 final,lose,and end up in 8th position it tells you something.The Force managed to bowl over the Stormers and Crusaders while the Reds beat BOTH finalists.The Blues beat the best and lost to the worst,which kind of summed up their season,but ended up finishing higher than the Hurricanes!Go figure!
As for the final?
Bulls by 10 points.
Straight Shooter-telling it like it is
Monday, May 17, 2010
the 'Knife man' is...
Straight Shooter can confidantly say who the Super 14 rugby player is who was involved in a domestic incident involving a knife and has been given name suppression.
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10645287
Due to so called bullshit laws giving privacy to sports 'celebrities' but not to our common Dick and Harrys,legally I cant name him.So I wont.But he has played on the wing for the Wellington Lions and the Hurricanes in Super 14.He is originally an Aucklander,and NO,it is NOT Hosea Gear.This person was also up on a drink-driving charge last year.He previously starred for Ponsonby and the Auckland 7s side.
He is of Samoan descent.
You know who it is?
Straight Shooter-telling it like it is
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10645287
Due to so called bullshit laws giving privacy to sports 'celebrities' but not to our common Dick and Harrys,legally I cant name him.So I wont.But he has played on the wing for the Wellington Lions and the Hurricanes in Super 14.He is originally an Aucklander,and NO,it is NOT Hosea Gear.This person was also up on a drink-driving charge last year.He previously starred for Ponsonby and the Auckland 7s side.
He is of Samoan descent.
You know who it is?
Straight Shooter-telling it like it is
Bet results from 13-03-2010
Well $30 spent with the big fat Donuts in return!!Not a good start.
I went the Brumbies points start for 2 reasons.The main one was the travel factor.I felt the Crusaders would do it tough travelling back from the Republic and that that would play into the Brumbies hands.Secondly just the fact that it was a virtual 1/4 final would make this close,and I had huge repect for the Brumbies.But on the night,the Mighty Crusaders were simply too good,and what a return to form for them!
The Hurricanes just didnt show up.Losing Andrew Hore early certainly didnt help and they were rudderless,lacking direction and leadership.For such a big game,this was a very disappointing effort.Credit to the Waratahs they played well.
The Blues outscored the Chiefs 5 tries to 2 but couldnt land the shots at goal that may have given me my 13+.But thats sport,you take the good with the bad!Roll on next week :)
Straight Shooter-telling it like it is
I went the Brumbies points start for 2 reasons.The main one was the travel factor.I felt the Crusaders would do it tough travelling back from the Republic and that that would play into the Brumbies hands.Secondly just the fact that it was a virtual 1/4 final would make this close,and I had huge repect for the Brumbies.But on the night,the Mighty Crusaders were simply too good,and what a return to form for them!
The Hurricanes just didnt show up.Losing Andrew Hore early certainly didnt help and they were rudderless,lacking direction and leadership.For such a big game,this was a very disappointing effort.Credit to the Waratahs they played well.
The Blues outscored the Chiefs 5 tries to 2 but couldnt land the shots at goal that may have given me my 13+.But thats sport,you take the good with the bad!Roll on next week :)
Straight Shooter-telling it like it is
Thursday, May 13, 2010
Bets-lets make some money-13-05-2010
I'm spending $30 this weekend.
$10 on the Brumbies points start of + 7.5(Meaning the Brumbies have to get within 7 points of the Crusaders OR win).@ 1.82 this potentially returns $18.20
$10 on the Hurricanes Head to Head @ $2.25 potentially returns me $22.50
$10 on the Blues 13+ @ $2.00 to potentially return me $20.
If you feel inclined then multi them all up.
$10 Brumbies +7.5/Hurricanes/Blues 13+ will return you $81.85.
Good Luck!
Straight Shooter-telling it like it is
$10 on the Brumbies points start of + 7.5(Meaning the Brumbies have to get within 7 points of the Crusaders OR win).@ 1.82 this potentially returns $18.20
$10 on the Hurricanes Head to Head @ $2.25 potentially returns me $22.50
$10 on the Blues 13+ @ $2.00 to potentially return me $20.
If you feel inclined then multi them all up.
$10 Brumbies +7.5/Hurricanes/Blues 13+ will return you $81.85.
Good Luck!
Straight Shooter-telling it like it is
Last round in Super 14-
Not only is this the last complete round of this years Super 14,it signals the end of the Super 14 itself.In 2011 it becomes the Super 15!
And what a final weekend it is.Lets see if we can pick some winners and then marry it up into some bets and some winnning $$$$$
First up on Friday night is the Crusaders taking on the Brumbies in a virtual 1/4 final.In Christchurch we would normally go with the Crusaders especially after their effort last week in nearly beating the Bulls in Pretoria.However the travel back from S.A becomes a major factor.How will the legs hold up?A good bet may be a Crusaders/Brumbies halftime/Fulltime double if you feel inclined.Personally,I think the class of the Crusaders will get them through....just.A good bet may be the Brumbies with the points start of +7.5.
The Hurricanes cross the ditch to Sydney and take on the Waratahs in another virtual semi final.With both Conrad Smith and Piri Weepu being included in the starting lineup this leaves me very confidant of a Hurricanes victory.Weepu offers a reliable goalkicking option,leaving Cruden to run the ship.The Waratahs are without 2 key tight forwards also.
The Blues and Chiefs would normally be a much anticipated local derby played out in front of thousands of fans,and I'm sure the drawmakers at seasons beginning were licking their lips at the mouthwatering prospect of these 2 sides playing a virtual 1/4 in the final round.Sadly its not to be.Both sides have underperformed,again!The Chiefs are fielding a Waikato 'B' side on Saturday night.No Muliana ,Sivivatu ,Kahui ,Masaga ,Donald or Delaney!They may be saved though by the travel factor,but I doubt it.The Blues should take this comfortably and salvage something from the season and in the process consign this 2010 season to History for the Chiefs.
The Highlanders travel to Brisbane and take on a Reds side with an outside chance of making the top 4.This combined with a return of a number of players should see them way to hungry and classy for a Highlanders side who were lacklustre and clueless last week.
The Sharks should deal to the Force in Durban while the Cheetahs should keep the Lions winless.
Which brings us to the huge match up between the seasons top 2 sides,the Bulls and the Stormers in Pretoria.This game was labelled a 'Stormer' last week for all the right reasons,but the Bulls hadnt seen the script.In a decison which has proven controversial,the Bulls have rested 13 players.While this may seem like a Bulls 'B' side,it will still contain 7 Springboks.And lets face it,its a wise decision to rest players for the next 2 weeks of finals footy.And of course,to have 2 semi finals in South Africa is a bonus for the Africans as well.Its a bitch travelling there and playing in their conditions!! I'm picking the Stormers.
Should be a great weekend of footy.Sit back,relax and Enjoy :)
Straight Shooter-telling it like it is
And what a final weekend it is.Lets see if we can pick some winners and then marry it up into some bets and some winnning $$$$$
First up on Friday night is the Crusaders taking on the Brumbies in a virtual 1/4 final.In Christchurch we would normally go with the Crusaders especially after their effort last week in nearly beating the Bulls in Pretoria.However the travel back from S.A becomes a major factor.How will the legs hold up?A good bet may be a Crusaders/Brumbies halftime/Fulltime double if you feel inclined.Personally,I think the class of the Crusaders will get them through....just.A good bet may be the Brumbies with the points start of +7.5.
The Hurricanes cross the ditch to Sydney and take on the Waratahs in another virtual semi final.With both Conrad Smith and Piri Weepu being included in the starting lineup this leaves me very confidant of a Hurricanes victory.Weepu offers a reliable goalkicking option,leaving Cruden to run the ship.The Waratahs are without 2 key tight forwards also.
The Blues and Chiefs would normally be a much anticipated local derby played out in front of thousands of fans,and I'm sure the drawmakers at seasons beginning were licking their lips at the mouthwatering prospect of these 2 sides playing a virtual 1/4 in the final round.Sadly its not to be.Both sides have underperformed,again!The Chiefs are fielding a Waikato 'B' side on Saturday night.No Muliana ,Sivivatu ,Kahui ,Masaga ,Donald or Delaney!They may be saved though by the travel factor,but I doubt it.The Blues should take this comfortably and salvage something from the season and in the process consign this 2010 season to History for the Chiefs.
The Highlanders travel to Brisbane and take on a Reds side with an outside chance of making the top 4.This combined with a return of a number of players should see them way to hungry and classy for a Highlanders side who were lacklustre and clueless last week.
The Sharks should deal to the Force in Durban while the Cheetahs should keep the Lions winless.
Which brings us to the huge match up between the seasons top 2 sides,the Bulls and the Stormers in Pretoria.This game was labelled a 'Stormer' last week for all the right reasons,but the Bulls hadnt seen the script.In a decison which has proven controversial,the Bulls have rested 13 players.While this may seem like a Bulls 'B' side,it will still contain 7 Springboks.And lets face it,its a wise decision to rest players for the next 2 weeks of finals footy.And of course,to have 2 semi finals in South Africa is a bonus for the Africans as well.Its a bitch travelling there and playing in their conditions!! I'm picking the Stormers.
Should be a great weekend of footy.Sit back,relax and Enjoy :)
Straight Shooter-telling it like it is
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